Portfolio churning: good or bad for your mutual fund?     (09-Apr-2014 )




Impact

With markets hitting new highs frequently, valuations are getting stretched. Yes, midcaps are still cheaper than largecaps but many of them have already rallied extensively over last few months. About 150 stocks listed on Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) have hit 52-week high lately. Investors are awaiting election outcome. It's a testing time for investors.

Many of you who invest in stocks might be thinking about exiting now to realise profits and hoping that you will get buying opportunities post-election. There are some investors who believe only in short term trading. They enter or exit stocks quickly. They will exit as soon as they feel they have made enough of profit in a stock or they find more rewarding opportunities. Such investors might be investing in companies, which in their opinion, would benefit if election outcome turns out to be in accordance to their expectation. However, there are a number of disciplined investors who buy stocks and hold them for long term. They are unmoved even when a number of stocks from their portfolio generate huge returns over a very short period of time. Like that for you, it's a tricky time even for fund managers managing mutual funds.

Churning activity of mutual funds...
There is a statistical ratio called "portfolio turnover ratio" which helps you understand how frequently your fund manager enters and exits stocks. The ratio is calculated by taking lower of total sales or purchase transactions performed by a fund over one year and dividing it by average net assets. For example, a fund having Rs 600 crore under its management performed 200 crore worth purchase transactions (assuming purchases are lower than sales) would have a portfolio turnover ratio of 33. A portfolio turnover ratio of 100 indicates that the entire portfolio of the fund is restructured over a period of one year. Churning activity of a fund depends on a number of factors such as:

Objective of the fund: If a fund endeavours to focus on opportunities present across sectors and benefit from company specific opportunities, it may indulge in excessive churning. Growth oriented funds and opportunities funds may have higher portfolio churning than rest of equity diversified funds. On the other hand, value oriented funds would have lower portfolio churning.

Philosophy of the fund house: Some fund houses do not mind churning portfolio aggressively if there is an opportunity to generate superior returns. Fund houses such as Edelweiss Mutual Fund, Sahara Mutual Fund, Kotak Mutual Fund, Deutsche Mutual Fund along with BNP Paribas Mutual Fund and DSP BlackRock Mutual Fund have a tendency to churn portfolios aggressively. On the other hand, Franklin Templeton Mutual Fund, HDFC Mutual Fund and Quantum Mutual fund have a relatively lower portfolio turnover ratio at the fund house level. It is noteworthy that a few fund houses such as Escorts Mutual Fund and JM Mutual Fund which happened to churn aggressively have lowered the portfolio churning during past 3 years, suggested by lower portfolio turnover ratio.

Market conditions: It is observed that, usually under flat market conditions, portfolio turnover of mutual funds is lower. However, volatile markets throw up good buying and selling opportunities. Therefore, portfolio churning tends to be higher when markets are volatile.

Macroeconomic outlook: When the macroeconomic outlook is expected to turn negative from positive or vice-versa, mutual funds tend to restructure their portfolios thereby giving rise to overall churning activity. For example, in today's context as the new government is expected to give a big push to manufacturing and infrastructure; mutual funds are taking fresh positions in stocks belonging to these sectors. At the same time, companies belonging to consumer non-durable segment are falling out of favour with mutual funds on valuation concerns.

Does churning affect returns?
Yes. More churning means more expenses that eat into returns generated by the fund. Apart from this churning may generate poor returns if a mutual fund ends up exiting good stocks too early without utilising investment opportunities to the fullest. However, it doesn't mean fund houses which do not churn would surely generate good returns. Having said this, it is observed that funds which have generated superior returns consistently have rarely indulged in excessive churning.

What a portfolio turnover would not tell you...
Since portfolio turnover ratio is a statistical measure of churning, it wouldn't tell you whether all stocks were sold off over last one year or only a part of a portfolio was churned several times. In practice, most of mutual funds which have a portfolio turnover ratio in excess of 100 (i.e. seemingly they restructured the entire portfolio) do not sell off all their holdings within a year. More often, they keep their core holdings stable and only a part of portfolio is churned over and over again.

PersonalFN is of the view that, it is important to consider the portfolio turnover ratio of a fund before you invest in it. However, portfolio turnover ratio, when considered in isolation, doesn't tell you anything about the performance of the fund. Therefore, PersonalFN believes, in addition to portfolio turnover ratio, you have to consider a whole host of factors that will help you identify a winning mutual fund.

Share |



2  Responses to
  • Zaiya
    Updated on
    Jan 07, 2015
      Reading posts like this make surfing such a plareuse
  • cyrus
    Updated on
    Aug 02, 2015
      Moderator Sir,
    Would appreciate if an detailed explanation is posted on different
    kinds of Funds one can put in Mutual Funds SIP's -- its EXPECTED RATE
    of Return p.a.( e.g. Liquid Funds/Balanced Funds etc) Should one put 
    investment in Dividend Option / Growth Option.

  • Post Comment

    :
       
     
     
      
       
    :
    :
    :
    * Comments are moderated by PersonalFN, in accordance with the Terms of Use, and may not appear on this article until they have been reviewed and deemed appropriate for posting.
          

    Quanutm Information Services Pvt. Ltd. All rights reserved.
    Any act of copying, reproducing or distributing this newsletter whether wholly or in part, for any purpose without the permission of PersonalFN is strictly prohibited and shall be deemed to be copyright infringement.

    Disclaimer: Quantum Information Services Pvt. Limited (PersonalFN) is not providing any investment advice through this service and, does not constitute or is not intended to constitute an offer to buy or sell, or a solicitation to an offer to buy or sell financial products, units or securities. All content and information is provided on an 'As Is' basis by PersonalFN. Information herein is believed to be reliable but PersonalFN does not warrant its completeness or accuracy and expressly disclaims all warranties and conditions of any kind, whether express or implied. PersonalFN and its subsidiaries / affiliates / sponsors or employees, personnel, directors will not be responsible for any direct / indirect loss or liability incurred by the user as a consequence of him or any other person on his behalf taking any investment decisions based on the contents and information provided herein. This is not a specific advisory service to meet the requirements of a specific client. Use of this information is at the user's own risk. The user must make his own investment decisions based on his specific investment objective and financial position and using such independent advisors as he believes necessary. All intellectual property rights emerging from this newsletter are and shall remain with PersonalFN. This is for your personal use and you shall not resell, copy, or redistribute this newsletter or any part of it, or use it for any commercial purpose. The performance data quoted represents past performance and does not guarantee future results. As a condition to accessing PersonalFN’s content and website, you agree to our Terms and Conditions of Use, available here.