Rumours unhealthy for investors: SEBI   Mar 25, 2011

    March 25, 2011
Impact

Brokers and wealth managers once again have come under Securities and Exchange Board of India’s (SEBI) purview for transmitting unverified or unauthenticated information to clients or general investors.

In an effort to prevent stock manipulation on the stock exchanges, SEBI has asked broking firms to ensure that their staff does not circulate rumours, or unverified information, obtained from client, industry or any other sources. Unauthenticated news pertaining to a particular stock when transmitted through chats, blogs, mobile phones, etc. has an adverse impact on the trading price of such a stock.

According to SEBI, due to lack of proper internal controls and poor training, employees of such intermediaries are sometimes not aware of the damage which can be caused by circulation of unauthenticated news or rumours.

Broking houses will also have to ensure (as per SEBI’s circular) that any market-related news received by their employees, either in their official or personal mail, should be forwarded to clients only after the same has been approved by its compliance officer. If an employee fails to do so he or she would be liable for actions.

In our opinion, the initiative taken by SEBI would help in reducing dissemination of unauthenticated information, but not completely eliminate such happening. We think that instead of just asking the brokers or wealth managers to keep a check on the information outflow, SEBI should ask brokers to provide recommendations to investors, which are backed only through thorough research.

Remember as a responsible investor one should always go with the piece of advice which is backed by thorough research in order to prevent a financial loss. One should not get lured by tips offered by unknown entities through different modes of communication, like SMS, emails, blogs, chat rooms, etc. while doing your investments.


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Impact

The Government is mulling ways to amend the Banking Regulation Act, 1949 through which RBI would be empowered to seek information from an entity running bank and other businesses like insurance and asset management as well.

Empowering RBI is essential for obtaining information about other businesses of the corporate houses seeking banking licences, in order to protect depositors’ interests.

We believe that granting appropriate powers to the RBI before issuing new banking licences would strengthen the financial system further. This in our opinion is much needed in the world financial exuberance, where industrial houses too are seeking banking licenses.

As per the current practice, India follows subsidiary model where non-banking business of a bank like insurance and asset management are subsidiaries. But since there’s risk involved in these non-banking businesses, the extra teeth which is proposed to be given to may reduce such a risk.

Impact

The rise in lending rates by several banks and housing finance companies, have finally led to prospective home loan borrowers re-think of availing a home loan.

The rises in home loan rates have been a result of Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) monetary policy stance in order to tame inflation. So far RBI has increased policy rates 8 times since March 2010.

Increase / (Decrease) since March 2010 At present
Repo Rate 200 bps 6.75%
Reverse Repo Rate 250 bps 5.75%
Cash Reserve Ratio 100 bps 6.00%
Statutory Liquidity Ratio (100 bps) 24.00%
Bank Rate unchanged 6.00%
(Source :RBI website, PersonalFN Research)
But the rise in policy rates has started displaying an adverse impact on Mumbai’s real estate market.

Property sale registration in India’s financial capital has fallen for the second consecutive month. The downtrend in sales volumes for the month of February 2011 is similar to that seen in January 2011. Sales registrations at 4,716 are down 22% year-on-year and 7% month-on-month, according to a study by Prabhudas Lilladher.

The absurd rise in property prices especially in Mumbai suburbs too is one of the dominant factor which is keeping buyers away. Sales in Mumbai Suburbs are down by 26% year-on-year in February 2011. While the sales in the city have expanded 13% year-on-year, albeit on the lower base of last year.

(Base = Rs 10,000)
(Source :ACE MF, PersonalFN Research)

This downtrend in the property sales is also supported by the weak fundamentals of the real estate companies which are reflected in the realty index (see graph above). The real estate companies’ profits have been hit hard as their interest costs too are going up along with home loan buyers feeling the pinch (of high borrowing rates).

In our opinion, property sales are likely to drop further more as the central bank appears to be quite vigilant on controlling spiralling inflation. The sales in the city however would not be impacted much with this, despite the fact that the island city continues to command a premium.

Property buyers who are looking at real estate as an investment would delay their purchase. But, those are looking to buy one to live in their dream home would continue to buy.


Weekly Facts

Close Change %Change
BSE Sensex* 18,815.64 936.83 5.24%
Re/US$ 44.76 0.4 0.95%
Gold/10g 20,995.00 385.0 1.87%
Crude ($/barrel) 115.00 4.8 4.39%
FD Rates (1-Yr) 7.00% - 9.00%
Weekly change as on March 24, 2011
*BSE Sensex as on March 25, 2011


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In an interview with the Financial Express, Mr. Aditya Puri - Managing Director, HDFC Bank shared his views on deregulation of savings rate and new banking licences.

Mr. Puri believes that in a tight liquidity situation where the interest rates are high, one should wait for the market conditions to normalize in order to deregulate savings rate. He explains further by saying that, "It’s just like if you do an oil price deregulation when the price is at $50 to $60 a barrel you would not have a problem. However, at $110 per barrel you will have a problem."

He also cites that once savings rate are deregulated, the charges associated with it would also have to be deregulated. And, such a price discovery, he believes, will hurt financial inclusion.

On issuing new banking licences, Mr. Puri said that India needs more banks as there is a demand and supply mismatch. Explaining further he said, "If anybody thinks these new participants will alter the landscape in a hurry, it will not happen. As for industrial houses being permitted, both models exist in the world - professionally managed as also those owned by large industrial groups."


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Securitization: The process through which an issuer creates a financial instrument by combining other financial assets and then marketing different tiers of the repackaged instruments to investors. The process can encompass any type of financial asset and promotes liquidity in the marketplace.

(Source: Investopedia)


QUOTE OF THE WEEK

"The world does not pay for what a person knows, but it pays for what a person does with what he knows."

- Laurence Lee


  • Last year in October 2010 the National Stock Exchange and United Stock Exchange introduced the currency options in the dollar-rupee segment. And since then the daily average turnover has increased from Rs 600 crore to Rs 3,000 crore. Retail investors too have shown their interest in this product - especially those who have their children studying abroad (remitting funds to them) or those who are planning a foreign trip.

    We believe that retail as well as HNI investors should stay away from such exotic products. It is okay for institutional investors who have export and import transactions, to take an exposure to currency options with the sole objective of hedging the currency risks. But any attempt which is speculative in nature could damage their financial health.

    Remember while the business media may engage in creating exuberance, as responsible investors you should resist from getting swayed. You should be making only those investments which suit your risk profile.


  • In order to boost the debt market in India, the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) has allowed listing of securitised debt instruments on exchanges. Such a move will improve the liquidity in the secondary market (debt) for such instruments.


  • After raising objections for a 1% increase in the provident fund rate, the Finance Ministry finally approved (after six months) an interest payout of 9.5% on employee's provident fund for 2010-11, bringing cheer to millions of subscribers.

    The approval, however, comes with a rider. All employee accounts should be updated within the next six months and any shortfall after crediting of interest will have to be adjusted against interest payments in the following year.

  • SEBI has cautioned investors against taking investment decisions advice rendered by entities not registered with SEBI. The regulator has advised investors to verify whether it (entity or individual rendering advice) is registered as portfolio manager under the SEBI (Portfolio Manager) Regulations' through its website.

    SEBI also observed that rendering such investment advice is an attempt to influence the market price and lure investors.

  • According to a survey published by consultancy firm KPMG, widespread corruption in India has grown in scale and represents billions of dollars, with the potential to discourage investors and derail growth prospects.

    The scams, exposed in recent months, point to a pervasive culture of corruption in Singh's (Prime Minister - Dr. Manmohan Singh) administration, prompting a man once seen as India's most honest politician to defend his leadership and scramble to keep the ruling coalition intact.

    The report also said that corruption poses a risk to India's projected 9% GDP growth and may result in a volatile political and economic environment.

  • SEBI has given a final approval to Indiabulls Financial Services, India Infoline and Union Bank of India-KBC Asset Management to start their mutual fund business. Thus, ending the 3 year waiting period for Indiabulls Financial Services and India Infoline for starting their mutual fund business.

    India Infoline will operate its mutual fund business through its wholly owned subsidiary IIFL Mutual Fund.

  • Finance Minister - Mr. Pranab Mukherjee announced withdrawal of the 5% service tax on air-conditioned hospitals with more than 25 beds and on diagnostic services proposed in the Budget 2011-12.

    However, justifying his earlier stance during the Budget 2011-12, he said, "The purpose of the new levy (healthcare) was not merely to mobilise revenue, but to pave the way for introduction of the GST (Goods and Services Tax). However, I have decided to exempt the new levy in its entirety both in respect of services provided by hospitals as well as by way of diagnostic tests until GST comes into force."
        
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